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Red68
876428.2
873116.7
771222.9
Blue55
834922.4
720028.9
219819.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806020401001201406855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
43Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points2
68Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.3
24.524.2
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End8.8
blue by 0.6
7200
#15
28.90.2
21.221.0
Auto3.3
Teleop21.7
End3.9
Second
7712
#10
22.90.2
22.622.4
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End3.9
red by 0.5
8349
#16
22.40.2
17.016.8
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
Third
8731
#26
16.70.3
17.617.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End1.3
blue by 2.5
2198
#19
19.20.2
13.112.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed