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Red27
354315.9
959215.1
95896.6
Blue119
1027912.0
491744.4
447670.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49124010015020027119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+82
Endgame+80
Fouls+92
AutonomousBlue +31
6Leave9
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points28
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +51
3Coral scored#14
9Coral points50
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
9Total teleop60
Reef
1L4#9
1L3#5
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
3Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +92
6Foul points18
27Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3543
#30
15.93.5
19.616.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End2.8
blue by 54.3
70.30.4
53.653.3
Auto21.7
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Second
9592
#18
15.13.5
15.612.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 29.3
44.40.6
32.031.4
Auto9.8
Teleop28.0
End6.6
Third
9589
#28
6.63.5
15.011.5
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
blue by 5.4
12.011.9
29.117.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned