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Red123
490753.0
285223.3
540645.2
Blue118
790238.6
748045.9
219819.2
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271086080100120140160180200123118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points24
37Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +9
11Coral scored#15
38Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
60Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#6
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points6
123Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.1
52.352.4
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End8.4
red by 7.1
45.90.2
45.745.9
Auto9.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
Second
45.20.1
44.544.6
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End8.5
red by 6.6
38.60.2
38.438.6
Auto5.8
Teleop25.1
End7.7
Third
2852
#31
23.30.1
22.622.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End0.3
red by 4.1
2198
#19
19.20.2
19.019.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.5