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Red192
888460.9
873116.7
447670.3
Blue118
956922.0
834922.4
872926.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16367050100150200250192118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+64Teleop
+66Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +50
30Coral scored#21
108Coral points76
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
150Total teleop100
Reef
14L4#9
12L3#7
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +74
8Foul points0
192Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.7
67.167.8
Auto21.7
Teleop45.2
End3.4
red by 43.3
8729
#11
26.90.7
26.327.0
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End2.7
Second
60.90.7
57.758.4
Auto12.9
Teleop41.8
End6.1
red by 38.5
8349
#16
22.40.7
21.722.5
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
Third
8731
#26
16.70.7
13.514.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End1.3
blue by 5.3
9569
#22
22.00.7
21.322.1
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End2.1