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Red113
790238.6
748045.9
219819.2
Blue115
1001514.5
491744.4
503129.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11293406080100120140160113115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points11
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +1
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
74Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +2
2Foul points6
113Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.3
44.444.7
Auto9.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
red by 1.5
44.40.5
44.044.4
Auto9.8
Teleop28.0
End6.6
Second
38.60.3
37.037.3
Auto5.8
Teleop25.1
End7.7
red by 9.2
5031
#14
29.40.5
28.929.4
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.7
Third
2198
#19
19.20.3
17.717.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.5
red by 4.7
14.50.5
14.014.5
Auto6.5
Teleop5.0
End3.0