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Red83
956922.0
834922.4
872926.9
Blue70
720028.9
270823.5
959215.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868270901001108370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+15Teleop
+5Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
22Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
51Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +13
8Foul points0
83Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8729
#11
26.90.1
27.027.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End2.7
blue by 1.9
7200
#15
28.90.1
28.828.9
Auto3.3
Teleop21.7
End3.9
Second
8349
#16
22.40.1
22.522.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
blue by 1.1
23.50.1
23.423.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End1.4
Third
9569
#22
22.00.1
22.122.1
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End2.1
red by 6.9
9592
#18
15.10.1
15.115.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2