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Red219
368392.5
467886.9
885017.5
Blue187
132573.1
755859.9
965918.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21915550100200250300219187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+28Teleop
+26Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave6
13Coral scored#7
65Coral points37
65Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +6
22Coral scored#23
78Coral points84
5Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
30Processor points18
16Net points16
46Algae points34
124Total teleop118
Reef
10L4#14
12L3#7
8L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points0
219Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.50.4
92.192.5
Auto25.0
Teleop61.3
End6.3
red by 19.4
73.10.8
72.373.1
Auto20.9
Teleop45.0
End7.2
Second
86.90.4
86.586.9
Auto25.9
Teleop51.0
End10.0
red by 27.0
59.90.8
59.159.9
Auto11.8
Teleop37.1
End10.9
Third
8850
#22
17.50.4
17.117.5
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End1.3
blue by 1.2
9659
#24
18.70.8
17.818.7
Auto3.1
Teleop15.6
End-0.0