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Red188
368392.5
467886.9
885017.5
Blue148
132573.1
755859.9
965918.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220155050100200250300188148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points31
51Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +23
23Coral scored#19
83Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
115Total teleop92
Reef
12L4#13
11L3#4
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +40
6Foul points0
188Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.50.3
92.592.1
Auto25.0
Teleop61.3
End6.3
red by 19.4
73.10.0
72.372.3
Auto20.9
Teleop45.0
End7.2
Second
86.90.3
86.886.5
Auto25.9
Teleop51.0
End10.0
red by 27.0
59.90.0
59.159.1
Auto11.8
Teleop37.1
End10.9
Third
8850
#22
17.50.3
17.517.1
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End1.3
blue by 1.2
9659
#24
18.70.0
17.917.8
Auto3.1
Teleop15.6
End-0.0