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Red180
132573.1
755859.9
965918.7
Blue170
999220.1
447669.4
752048.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16614250100200250180170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave3
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points33
27Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +7
25Coral scored#23
89Coral points84
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
125Total teleop118
Reef
14L4#12
7L3#9
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +10
12Foul points0
180Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.10.4
71.972.3
Auto20.9
Teleop45.0
End7.2
red by 3.7
69.40.7
68.769.4
Auto14.4
Teleop51.1
End4.0
Second
59.90.4
58.759.1
Auto11.8
Teleop37.1
End10.9
red by 11.2
48.70.7
48.048.7
Auto15.8
Teleop32.4
End0.8
Third
9659
#24
18.70.4
17.517.9
Auto3.1
Teleop15.6
End-0.0
blue by 1.5
9992
#16
20.11.1
19.120.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End2.3