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Red79
270247.4
1001516.2
999220.1
Blue120
958016.6
131043.2
467886.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9419705015025030079120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+43
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +25
0Leave6
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points42
23Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +18
8Coral scored#13
30Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
40Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#8
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
79Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.9
58.656.7
Auto6.7
Teleop35.3
End5.4
blue by 39.5
86.93.6
97.694.0
Auto25.9
Teleop51.0
End10.0
Second
9992
#16
20.13.1
24.421.3
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End2.3
blue by 23.1
1310
#15
43.23.6
49.746.1
Auto9.7
Teleop25.5
End7.9
Third
16.21.9
24.322.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 0.3
9580
#18
16.63.6
26.322.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned