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Red74
885017.5
965918.7
293540.1
Blue124
956931.0
447669.4
18846.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9222005015020025030035074124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+30
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave6
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +13
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
63Total teleop76
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points6
74Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#12
40.11.4
49.147.7
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.9
blue by 29.3
69.44.7
83.078.2
Auto14.4
Teleop51.1
End4.0
Second
9659
#24
18.71.4
24.322.9
Auto3.1
Teleop15.6
End-0.0
blue by 27.5
188
#13
46.14.7
70.665.9
Auto16.2
Teleop25.5
End4.5
Third
8850
#22
17.51.4
21.620.2
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End1.3
blue by 13.5
31.04.7
35.230.5
Auto4.5
Teleop24.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed91%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned