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Red152
906223.9
368392.5
752048.7
Blue112
132573.1
790232.6
85421.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21516650100150200250300350152112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+38Teleop
+38Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
6Leave3
10Coral scored#4
52Coral points21
58Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +4
15Coral scored#19
54Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
86Total teleop82
Reef
10L4#10
7L3#4
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
2Foul points0
152Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.53.3
97.293.9
Auto25.0
Teleop61.3
End6.3
red by 19.4
73.13.1
75.472.3
Auto20.9
Teleop45.0
End7.2
Second
48.73.3
60.256.9
Auto15.8
Teleop32.4
End0.8
red by 16.1
7902
#19
32.63.1
45.642.5
Auto2.8
Teleop24.2
End5.5
Third
9062
#20
23.93.3
36.032.7
Auto5.6
Teleop18.6
End-0.1
red by 2.6
854
#17
21.33.1
32.729.5
Auto1.4
Teleop13.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsMissed