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Red37
958016.6
790232.6
86531.6
Blue92
909847.0
540660.6
906223.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101820501502002503003792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+43
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
6Coral scored#9
21Coral points31
1Processor algae#3
0Net algae#1
6Processor points18
0Net points4
6Algae points22
27Total teleop53
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
37Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7902
#19
32.65.0
38.533.5
Auto2.8
Teleop24.2
End5.5
blue by 28.0
60.64.5
70.866.3
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End8.4
Second
865
#23
31.65.0
49.844.9
Auto9.3
Teleop18.3
End4.2
blue by 15.3
9098
#10
47.04.5
54.650.1
Auto11.3
Teleop25.0
End10.7
Third
9580
#18
16.65.0
17.312.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.1
blue by 7.4
9062
#20
23.94.5
29.124.6
Auto5.6
Teleop18.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned