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Red89
999220.1
131043.2
85421.3
Blue133
293540.1
956931.0
755859.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7517605010015020025089133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+44
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
50Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points28
89Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#15
43.20.3
42.943.3
Auto9.7
Teleop25.5
End7.9
blue by 16.7
59.92.7
71.568.8
Auto11.8
Teleop37.1
End10.9
Second
854
#17
21.30.3
24.124.4
Auto1.4
Teleop13.4
End6.7
blue by 18.8
2935
#12
40.12.7
43.240.5
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.9
Third
9992
#16
20.10.5
17.117.7
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End2.3
blue by 10.9
31.02.7
31.028.3
Auto4.5
Teleop24.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned