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Red171
467886.9
999025.4
132573.1
Blue159
368392.5
965918.7
270247.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19116950100150250300171159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+12
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
12Coral scored#8
58Coral points38
58Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +29
18Coral scored#21
63Coral points74
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#9
12Processor points6
12Net points36
24Algae points42
87Total teleop116
Reef
9L4#15
7L3#5
10L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#39
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
171Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.90.0
88.688.6
Auto25.9
Teleop51.0
End10.0
blue by 5.6
92.50.1
90.890.7
Auto25.0
Teleop61.3
End6.3
Second
73.10.0
68.368.4
Auto20.9
Teleop45.0
End7.2
red by 25.7
47.40.1
53.052.9
Auto6.7
Teleop35.3
End5.4
Third
9990
#11
25.40.0
13.613.7
Auto4.7
Teleop16.6
End3.6
red by 6.7
9659
#24
18.70.1
16.316.2
Auto3.1
Teleop15.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed