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Red43
958016.6
906223.9
1001516.2
Blue114
18846.1
540660.6
86531.6
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34214010015025030035043114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+51
Endgame+57
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
3Coral scored#11
10Coral points38
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
16Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
12Foul points26
43Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9062
#20
23.91.9
24.622.7
Auto5.6
Teleop18.6
End-0.1
blue by 36.7
60.66.0
66.360.4
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End8.4
Second
9580
#18
16.61.9
12.310.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.1
blue by 29.6
188
#13
46.16.0
61.055.0
Auto16.2
Teleop25.5
End4.5
Third
16.21.9
16.414.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 15.4
865
#23
31.66.0
44.938.9
Auto9.3
Teleop18.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned