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Red150
755859.9
752048.7
447669.4
Blue137
909847.0
956931.0
131043.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218121050100150200250300350150137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+23Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
26Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +37
23Coral scored#14
84Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
108Total teleop71
Reef
13L4#11
5L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
150Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.42.7
70.167.4
Auto14.4
Teleop51.1
End4.0
red by 22.4
9098
#10
47.01.0
50.151.1
Auto11.3
Teleop25.0
End10.7
Second
59.92.7
68.866.2
Auto11.8
Teleop37.1
End10.9
red by 16.7
1310
#15
43.21.0
43.344.3
Auto9.7
Teleop25.5
End7.9
Third
48.72.7
51.048.3
Auto15.8
Teleop32.4
End0.8
red by 17.7
31.01.0
28.329.3
Auto4.5
Teleop24.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned