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Red54
790232.6
885017.5
999220.1
Blue94
85421.3
99968.4
293540.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69810501001502002505494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+32
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
9Coral scored#10
31Coral points35
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
0Processor points18
8Net points12
8Algae points30
39Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
6Foul points6
54Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7902
#19
32.61.3
33.532.2
Auto2.8
Teleop24.2
End5.5
blue by 7.4
2935
#12
40.11.1
40.541.5
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.9
Second
9992
#16
20.12.2
17.715.5
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End2.3
blue by 1.1
854
#17
21.31.1
24.425.5
Auto1.4
Teleop13.4
End6.7
Third
8850
#22
17.51.3
16.715.4
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End1.3
red by 9.2
9996
#14
8.41.8
7.29.0
Auto0.1
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned