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Red117
1001516.2
999025.4
752048.7
Blue138
132573.1
958016.6
956931.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83124050100150200250117138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+19
Endgame+27
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points24
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +15
18Coral scored#19
64Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
82Total teleop97
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points0
117Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.72.3
48.350.6
Auto15.8
Teleop32.4
End0.8
blue by 24.4
73.12.0
68.470.4
Auto20.9
Teleop45.0
End7.2
Second
9990
#11
25.43.8
13.717.5
Auto4.7
Teleop16.6
End3.6
blue by 5.6
31.02.0
29.331.3
Auto4.5
Teleop24.3
End2.2
Third
16.22.3
14.516.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 0.3
9580
#18
16.62.0
10.412.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned