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Qual 182025 Robots@Mary Ward Day 1
Red80
131043.2
755859.9
906223.9
Blue248
540660.6
467886.9
368392.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13226905010015020025030035080248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+49
Teleop+156
Endgame+168
Fouls+168
AutonomousBlue +49
3Leave3
2Coral scored#12
10Coral points59
13Total auto62
TeleoperatedBlue +107
8Coral scored#34
29Coral points122
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
53Total teleop160
Reef
3L4#16
3L3#13
2L2#11
2L1 · trough#6
15Game pieces#54
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +168
0Foul points0
80Total score248

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7558
#3
59.93.5
66.2→62.6
Auto11.8
Teleop37.1
End10.9
blue by 32.6
3683
#1
92.50.6
90.7→91.3
Auto25.0
Teleop61.3
End6.3
Second
1310
#15
43.23.5
44.3→40.7
Auto9.7
Teleop25.5
End7.9
blue by 43.7
4678
#2
86.90.6
88.6→89.2
Auto25.9
Teleop51.0
End10.0
Third
9062
#20
23.93.5
22.7→19.2
Auto5.6
Teleop18.6
End-0.1
blue by 36.7
5406
#7
60.60.6
60.4→60.9
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned