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Red137
447669.4
85421.3
885017.5
Blue43
86531.6
965918.7
999220.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1306305010015020025013743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+50Teleop
+64Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +43
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
75Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#10
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
30Foul points0
137Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.1
67.467.3
Auto14.4
Teleop51.1
End4.0
red by 37.8
865
#23
31.61.8
38.937.1
Auto9.3
Teleop18.3
End4.2
Second
854
#17
21.30.1
25.525.4
Auto1.4
Teleop13.4
End6.7
red by 1.1
9992
#16
20.13.1
15.512.4
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Third
8850
#22
17.50.1
15.415.3
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End1.3
blue by 1.2
9659
#24
18.71.8
16.214.4
Auto3.1
Teleop15.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed