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Red239
755859.9
132573.1
368392.5
Blue119
956931.0
1001516.2
540660.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257107050150200300350239119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+36Auto
+84Teleop
+114Endgame
+120Fouls
AutonomousRed +36
0Leave3
12Coral scored#4
58Coral points19
58Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +48
31Coral scored#20
111Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
139Total teleop91
Reef
13L4#10
13L3#8
12L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
49Game pieces#28
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +120
6Foul points0
239Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.50.2
91.391.1
Auto25.0
Teleop61.3
End6.3
red by 31.9
60.60.3
60.961.2
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End8.4
Second
73.10.2
70.470.2
Auto20.9
Teleop45.0
End7.2
red by 42.1
31.00.3
31.331.6
Auto4.5
Teleop24.3
End2.2
Third
59.90.2
62.662.4
Auto11.8
Teleop37.1
End10.9
red by 43.7
16.20.3
16.817.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsMissed