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Red81
99968.4
752048.7
958016.6
Blue153
467886.9
293540.1
18846.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57218010015020025030035081153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+60
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave9
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points35
20Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +36
11Coral scored#18
41Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
51Total teleop87
Reef
3L4#11
6L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
6Foul points6
81Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.3
50.650.9
Auto15.8
Teleop32.4
End0.8
blue by 38.2
86.92.5
89.286.7
Auto25.9
Teleop51.0
End10.0
Second
9580
#18
16.60.3
12.412.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.1
blue by 29.6
188
#13
46.12.5
54.552.0
Auto16.2
Teleop25.5
End4.5
Third
9996
#14
8.40.4
8.18.5
Auto0.1
Teleop6.2
End1.3
blue by 31.7
2935
#12
40.12.5
40.237.7
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned