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Qual 232025 Robots@Mary Ward Day 1
Red107
909847.0
85421.3
270247.4
Blue95
885017.5
131043.2
86531.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1419505020010795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +10
15Coral scored#10
55Coral points37
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
67Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
107Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#8
47.41.4
51.5→50.1
Auto6.7
Teleop35.3
End5.4
red by 4.1
1310
#15
43.20.1
40.7→40.9
Auto9.7
Teleop25.5
End7.9
Second
9098
#10
47.01.4
50.6→49.2
Auto11.3
Teleop25.0
End10.7
red by 15.3
865
#23
31.60.1
37.1→37.2
Auto9.3
Teleop18.3
End4.2
Third
854
#17
21.31.4
25.4→24.0
Auto1.4
Teleop13.4
End6.7
red by 3.8
8850
#22
17.50.1
15.3→15.4
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed