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Red116
790232.6
906223.9
965918.7
Blue127
999220.1
447669.4
999025.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62114050100150200250116127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+3Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +17
21Coral scored#15
75Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
103Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#7
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points12
116Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7902
#19
32.62.9
30.833.7
Auto2.8
Teleop24.2
End5.5
blue by 36.8
69.40.6
67.367.9
Auto14.4
Teleop51.1
End4.0
Second
9062
#20
23.92.9
19.222.1
Auto5.6
Teleop18.6
End-0.1
blue by 1.5
9990
#11
25.41.0
17.518.5
Auto4.7
Teleop16.6
End3.6
Third
9659
#24
18.72.9
14.417.3
Auto3.1
Teleop15.6
End-0.0
blue by 1.5
9992
#16
20.11.0
12.413.4
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned