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Red129
540660.6
132573.1
293540.1
Blue129
99968.4
956931.0
467886.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193132050100150250300350129129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
36Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +7
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
83Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#7
4L3#6
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points12
129Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.1
Auto20.9
Teleop45.0
End7.2
blue by 13.8
86.9
Auto25.9
Teleop51.0
End10.0
Second
60.6
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End8.4
red by 29.6
31.0
Auto4.5
Teleop24.3
End2.2
Third
2935
#12
40.1
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.9
red by 31.7
9996
#14
8.4
Auto0.1
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsMissed77%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned