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Red160
999220.1
447669.4
752048.7
Blue115
131043.2
958016.6
270247.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14398050200250160115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+53Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points34
30Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +57
21Coral scored#15
74Coral points55
3Processor algae#0
8Net algae#3
18Processor points0
32Net points12
50Algae points12
124Total teleop67
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#6
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
160Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.7
66.467.1
Auto14.4
Teleop51.1
End4.0
red by 22.0
47.40.4
44.745.1
Auto6.7
Teleop35.3
End5.4
Second
48.70.7
45.846.5
Auto15.8
Teleop32.4
End0.8
red by 5.5
1310
#15
43.20.4
40.640.9
Auto9.7
Teleop25.5
End7.9
Third
9992
#16
20.11.1
15.516.6
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End2.3
red by 3.6
9580
#18
16.60.4
13.914.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.1