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Red199
368392.5
467886.9
885017.5
Blue22
86531.6
906223.9
99968.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23745010015020030035019922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+59Auto
+155Teleop
+167Endgame
+177Fouls
AutonomousRed +59
9Leave6
11Coral scored#0
56Coral points0
65Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +96
19Coral scored#2
70Coral points6
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
12Processor points0
24Net points4
36Algae points4
106Total teleop10
Reef
9L4#0
10L3#1
7L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
38Game pieces#3
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +177
12Foul points2
199Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.50.2
92.392.1
Auto25.0
Teleop61.3
End6.3
red by 60.9
865
#23
31.61.0
31.730.7
Auto9.3
Teleop18.3
End4.2
Second
86.90.2
86.786.5
Auto25.9
Teleop51.0
End10.0
red by 63.0
9062
#20
23.91.0
24.023.0
Auto5.6
Teleop18.6
End-0.1
Third
8850
#22
17.50.2
17.317.1
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End1.3
red by 9.2
9996
#14
8.41.6
8.56.9
Auto0.1
Teleop6.2
End1.3