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Red123
999025.4
85421.3
293540.1
Blue81
540660.6
1001516.2
956931.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7913105010015020025012381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
18Coral scored#10
65Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
91Total teleop65
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
123Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#12
40.11.0
38.139.1
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.9
blue by 20.6
60.60.6
61.360.6
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End8.4
Second
9990
#11
25.41.5
22.423.9
Auto4.7
Teleop16.6
End3.6
blue by 5.6
31.00.6
31.731.0
Auto4.5
Teleop24.3
End2.2
Third
854
#17
21.31.0
19.420.3
Auto1.4
Teleop13.4
End6.7
red by 5.0
16.20.6
16.916.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.0