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Red239
368392.5
467886.9
885017.5
Blue165
999220.1
447669.4
752048.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224128050100150200250300239165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+52Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
10Coral scored#7
49Coral points35
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +38
25Coral scored#23
91Coral points83
4Processor algae#3
10Net algae#4
24Processor points18
40Net points16
64Algae points34
155Total teleop117
Reef
15L4#11
10L3#10
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#37
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
239Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.50.9
92.193.0
Auto25.0
Teleop61.3
End6.3
red by 23.1
69.40.7
67.167.9
Auto14.4
Teleop51.1
End4.0
Second
86.90.9
86.587.4
Auto25.9
Teleop51.0
End10.0
red by 38.2
48.70.7
46.547.2
Auto15.8
Teleop32.4
End0.8
Third
8850
#22
17.50.9
17.118.0
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End1.3
blue by 2.6
9992
#16
20.11.1
16.617.7
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End2.3