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Red196
132573.1
755859.9
965918.7
Blue120
909847.0
18846.1
790232.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16614150100200250196120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+70Teleop
+70Endgame
+76Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +70
29Coral scored#12
104Coral points44
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
134Total teleop64
Reef
9L4#6
9L3#5
10L2#4
5L1 · trough#1
39Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +76
6Foul points0
196Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.11.0
70.971.9
Auto20.9
Teleop45.0
End7.2
red by 26.1
9098
#10
47.00.2
47.647.5
Auto11.3
Teleop25.0
End10.7
Second
59.91.0
57.758.7
Auto11.8
Teleop37.1
End10.9
red by 13.8
188
#13
46.10.2
46.846.6
Auto16.2
Teleop25.5
End4.5
Third
9659
#24
18.71.0
16.517.5
Auto3.1
Teleop15.6
End-0.0
blue by 14.0
7902
#19
32.60.2
33.333.1
Auto2.8
Teleop24.2
End5.5