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Red149
999220.1
447669.4
752048.7
Blue127
999025.4
85421.3
293540.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15278050100200250149127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+42Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points9
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
22Coral scored#21
80Coral points76
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
118Total teleop94
Reef
9L4#6
9L3#7
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
149Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.4
67.968.2
Auto14.4
Teleop51.1
End4.0
red by 29.3
2935
#12
40.11.0
39.140.1
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.9
Second
48.70.4
47.247.6
Auto15.8
Teleop32.4
End0.8
red by 23.3
9990
#11
25.41.5
23.925.4
Auto4.7
Teleop16.6
End3.6
Third
9992
#16
20.10.6
17.718.3
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End2.3
blue by 1.1
854
#17
21.31.0
20.321.3
Auto1.4
Teleop13.4
End6.7