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Red191
132575.4
755871.0
906225.6
Blue180
999231.9
18856.3
368379.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185172100150200250300191180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points34
47Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +5
28Coral scored#23
102Coral points83
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
130Total teleop125
Reef
16L4#8
6L3#10
9L2#8
6L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#39
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
191Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.40.3
75.075.4
Auto22.3
Teleop48.2
End5.0
blue by 3.8
79.10.2
78.979.1
Auto24.4
Teleop50.8
End4.1
Second
71.00.3
70.771.0
Auto15.0
Teleop44.3
End11.8
red by 14.8
188
#4
56.30.2
56.156.3
Auto17.8
Teleop32.7
End5.9
Third
9062
#14
25.60.3
25.325.6
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End0.9
blue by 6.3
9992
#10
31.90.2
31.731.9
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.9