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Red212
132575.4
755871.0
906225.6
Blue194
999231.9
18856.3
368379.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183170100150200250212194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+4Teleop
+16Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points37
47Total auto46
TeleoperatedRed +3
26Coral scored#26
93Coral points94
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
24Processor points24
20Net points16
44Algae points40
137Total teleop134
Reef
12L4#14
11L3#11
4L2#4
8L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#41
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +18
2Foul points0
212Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.40.9
74.275.0
Auto22.3
Teleop48.2
End5.0
blue by 3.8
79.10.6
78.478.9
Auto24.4
Teleop50.8
End4.1
Second
71.00.9
69.970.7
Auto15.0
Teleop44.3
End11.8
red by 14.8
188
#4
56.30.6
55.556.1
Auto17.8
Teleop32.7
End5.9
Third
9062
#14
25.60.9
24.425.3
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End0.9
blue by 6.3
9992
#10
31.90.8
30.831.7
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.9