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Red186
999231.9
18856.3
368379.1
Blue168
131045.0
790230.3
752051.5
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17712650100150200250186168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
8Coral scored#9
41Coral points44
50Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +12
27Coral scored#19
98Coral points68
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#8
12Processor points18
20Net points32
32Algae points50
130Total teleop118
Reef
16L4#12
9L3#7
7L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
186Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.10.4
78.078.4
Auto24.4
Teleop50.8
End4.1
red by 27.6
51.50.9
50.751.5
Auto18.0
Teleop33.1
End0.6
Second
188
#4
56.30.4
55.255.5
Auto17.8
Teleop32.7
End5.9
red by 11.3
45.00.9
44.145.0
Auto9.9
Teleop25.6
End9.5
Third
9992
#10
31.90.5
30.330.8
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.9
red by 1.6
30.30.9
29.430.3
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.7