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Red152
18856.3
755871.0
906225.6
Blue47
447651.4
999415.0
133415.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14913605010020025030035040015247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+87Teleop
+111Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave6
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points11
30Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +74
18Coral scored#4
66Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
12Processor points0
20Net points8
32Algae points8
98Total teleop24
Reef
6L4#2
7L3#1
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#8
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +105
0Foul points6
152Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.01.3
59.961.2
Auto15.0
Teleop44.3
End11.8
red by 19.6
4476
#12
51.44.7
69.464.7
Auto12.0
Teleop37.1
End2.5
Second
188
#4
56.31.3
46.147.4
Auto17.8
Teleop32.7
End5.9
red by 40.6
1334
#13
15.74.7
21.116.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.1
Third
9062
#14
25.61.3
23.925.2
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End0.9
red by 10.6
9994
#16
15.07.9
18.610.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned59%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed