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Red83
559612.9
131045.0
999023.5
Blue129
752051.5
790230.3
999231.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8611305015020025030035083129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+54
Endgame+42
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +23
0Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points30
13Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +31
8Coral scored#19
30Coral points67
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
54Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#6
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points4
83Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.00.4
43.242.8
Auto9.9
Teleop25.6
End9.5
blue by 6.5
51.51.1
48.749.8
Auto18.0
Teleop33.1
End0.6
Second
23.50.6
18.618.0
Auto10.1
Teleop8.7
End4.1
blue by 8.4
9992
#10
31.91.8
18.620.4
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.9
Third
12.90.4
19.018.6
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 17.4
30.31.1
32.633.7
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed