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Red117
86529.1
999314.3
18856.3
Blue170
132575.4
368379.1
906225.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88222050150200250300350117170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+63
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave9
6Coral scored#10
28Coral points49
34Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +39
13Coral scored#21
45Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
69Total teleop108
Reef
8L4#10
4L3#9
4L2#8
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
117Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#4
56.30.9
47.448.3
Auto17.8
Teleop32.7
End5.9
blue by 22.8
79.11.8
92.590.7
Auto24.4
Teleop50.8
End4.1
Second
865
#11
29.10.9
31.632.6
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End4.7
blue by 46.3
75.41.8
73.171.3
Auto22.3
Teleop48.2
End5.0
Third
9993
#15
14.31.6
18.620.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 11.4
9062
#14
25.61.8
25.223.4
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed