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Red89
131045.0
790230.3
999314.3
Blue118
368379.1
133415.7
999231.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9314405020025030089118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+33
Endgame+23
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave3
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points34
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
60Total teleop69
Reef
3L4#10
5L3#6
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points6
89Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.00.9
42.842.0
Auto9.9
Teleop25.6
End9.5
blue by 34.1
79.11.4
90.789.3
Auto24.4
Teleop50.8
End4.1
Second
30.30.9
33.732.8
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.7
blue by 1.6
9992
#10
31.92.4
20.418.0
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.9
Third
9993
#15
14.31.4
20.218.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 1.4
1334
#13
15.71.4
16.415.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed