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Red87
86529.1
752051.5
999415.0
Blue216
132575.4
447651.4
755871.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10922505015020025030035087216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+85
Endgame+99
Fouls+129
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points35
27Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +68
9Coral scored#26
34Coral points94
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
58Total teleop126
Reef
5L4#13
4L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#9
19Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +129
0Foul points30
87Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.50.8
49.849.0
Auto18.0
Teleop33.1
End0.6
blue by 23.8
75.41.1
71.370.2
Auto22.3
Teleop48.2
End5.0
Second
865
#11
29.10.8
32.631.8
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End4.7
blue by 42.0
71.01.1
61.260.0
Auto15.0
Teleop44.3
End11.8
Third
9994
#16
15.01.3
10.79.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End-0.1
blue by 36.4
4476
#12
51.41.1
64.763.5
Auto12.0
Teleop37.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned