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Red77
559612.9
999415.0
368379.1
Blue140
999023.5
132575.4
86529.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15413305010020025077140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+35
Endgame+33
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave9
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points35
24Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +15
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
49Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points30
77Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.12.7
89.386.6
Auto24.4
Teleop50.8
End4.1
red by 3.8
75.40.7
70.269.5
Auto22.3
Teleop48.2
End5.0
Second
9994
#16
15.04.5
9.55.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End-0.1
blue by 14.0
865
#11
29.10.7
31.831.2
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End4.7
Third
12.92.7
18.615.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 10.6
23.51.1
18.016.9
Auto10.1
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed