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Red111
133415.7
752051.5
131045.0
Blue161
755871.0
559612.9
18856.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109145050200250111161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+36
Endgame+38
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +29
14Coral scored#19
49Coral points70
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
6Processor points18
12Net points8
18Algae points26
67Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#6
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
22Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points12
111Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7520
#8Sur
51.50.1
49.049.2
Auto18.0
Teleop33.1
End0.6
blue by 19.5
7558
#1Sur
71.01.5
60.061.5
Auto15.0
Teleop44.3
End11.8
Second
45.00.1
42.042.1
Auto9.9
Teleop25.6
End9.5
blue by 11.3
188
#4
56.31.5
48.349.8
Auto17.8
Teleop32.7
End5.9
Third
1334
#13Sur
15.70.1
15.015.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.1
red by 2.8
5596
#9Sur
12.91.5
15.917.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned