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Red116
999231.9
559612.9
755871.0
Blue106
906225.6
131045.0
447651.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94146050200250116106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
68Total teleop58
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points2
116Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.01.1
62.463.6
Auto15.0
Teleop44.3
End11.8
red by 19.6
4476
#12
51.41.8
59.257.5
Auto12.0
Teleop37.1
End2.5
Second
9992
#10
31.91.9
14.216.1
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.9
blue by 13.1
45.01.8
41.439.6
Auto9.9
Teleop25.6
End9.5
Third
12.91.1
14.315.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 12.7
9062
#14
25.61.8
24.622.9
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned