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Red60
559612.9
447651.4
133415.7
Blue103
999023.5
999314.3
368379.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8512905010015020060103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +42
6Leave9
1Coral scored#8
3Coral points42
9Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +7
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points36
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
37Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
8Foul points2
60Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#12
51.42.3
53.050.6
Auto12.0
Teleop37.1
End2.5
blue by 27.7
79.11.2
78.076.8
Auto24.4
Teleop50.8
End4.1
Second
1334
#13
15.72.3
13.611.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.1
blue by 7.8
23.52.0
20.118.0
Auto10.1
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Third
12.92.3
14.912.6
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 1.4
9993
#15
14.32.0
15.613.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed