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Red78
999415.0
790230.3
906225.6
Blue141
86529.1
999231.9
131045.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions788905010015020078141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+43
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +19
12Coral scored#17
43Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
61Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#6
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
2Foul points2
78Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.31.2
26.127.3
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.7
blue by 14.7
45.03.7
39.543.3
Auto9.9
Teleop25.6
End9.5
Second
9062
#14
25.61.2
22.824.0
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End0.9
blue by 6.3
9992
#10
31.96.2
18.624.8
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.9
Third
9994
#16
15.02.0
9.211.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End-0.1
blue by 14.0
865
#11
29.13.7
24.928.6
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned