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Red177
752051.5
18856.3
447651.4
Blue179
755871.0
132575.4
790230.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16517680100120140200220177179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
10Coral scored#7
52Coral points34
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +21
14Coral scored#24
51Coral points88
4Processor algae#4
8Net algae#4
24Processor points24
32Net points16
56Algae points40
107Total teleop128
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#11
6L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
177Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#4
56.31.3
52.754.0
Auto17.8
Teleop32.7
End5.9
blue by 19.1
75.41.3
69.370.6
Auto22.3
Teleop48.2
End5.0
Second
51.51.3
48.750.0
Auto18.0
Teleop33.1
End0.6
blue by 19.5
71.01.3
62.663.9
Auto15.0
Teleop44.3
End11.8
Third
4476
#12
51.41.3
50.651.9
Auto12.0
Teleop37.1
End2.5
red by 21.1
30.31.3
27.328.6
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned