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Red144
999415.0
999231.9
132575.4
Blue171
133415.7
755871.0
999023.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12597050150200250144171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+11Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points35
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +22
23Coral scored#18
81Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
105Total teleop83
Reef
8L4#10
9L3#8
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points18
144Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.42.5
70.673.1
Auto22.3
Teleop48.2
End5.0
red by 4.3
71.04.0
63.967.9
Auto15.0
Teleop44.3
End11.8
Second
9992
#10
31.93.9
24.828.7
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.9
red by 8.4
23.56.2
18.024.2
Auto10.1
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Third
9994
#16
15.03.9
11.215.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End-0.1
blue by 0.7
1334
#13
15.74.0
11.215.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned