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Red78
906225.6
752051.5
559612.9
Blue175
131045.0
368379.1
18856.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7720305010015025030078175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+73
Endgame+97
Fouls+97
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave3
5Coral scored#10
23Coral points48
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +45
8Coral scored#19
29Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
12Processor points6
12Net points24
24Algae points30
53Total teleop98
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#9
3L2#8
1L1 · trough#5
18Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +97
0Foul points0
78Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.50.6
50.049.4
Auto18.0
Teleop33.1
End0.6
blue by 27.6
79.10.1
76.876.9
Auto24.4
Teleop50.8
End4.1
Second
9062
#14
25.60.6
24.023.4
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End0.9
blue by 30.6
188
#4
56.30.1
54.054.0
Auto17.8
Teleop32.7
End5.9
Third
12.90.6
12.612.0
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 32.1
45.00.1
43.343.3
Auto9.9
Teleop25.6
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned