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Red131
755871.0
86529.1
559612.9
Blue88
999314.3
133415.7
752051.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1257305010015020025013188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+17Teleop
+37Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
5Coral scored#5
25Coral points27
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +13
14Coral scored#11
49Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
67Total teleop54
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points0
131Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.00.9
67.968.8
Auto15.0
Teleop44.3
End11.8
red by 19.5
51.50.5
49.449.9
Auto18.0
Teleop33.1
End0.6
Second
865
#11
29.10.9
28.629.6
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End4.7
red by 13.4
1334
#13
15.70.5
15.215.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.1
Third
12.90.9
12.012.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 1.4
9993
#15
14.30.7
13.614.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed