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Red200
132575.4
755871.0
906225.6
Blue130
131045.0
790230.3
752051.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18712250100150200250300200130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+58Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +51
26Coral scored#15
94Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
130Total teleop79
Reef
14L4#5
8L3#7
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
200Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.40.8
73.173.9
Auto22.3
Teleop48.2
End5.0
red by 23.8
51.50.2
49.950.0
Auto18.0
Teleop33.1
End0.6
Second
71.00.8
68.869.6
Auto15.0
Teleop44.3
End11.8
red by 26.0
45.00.2
43.343.5
Auto9.9
Teleop25.6
End9.5
Third
9062
#14
25.60.8
23.424.2
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End0.9
blue by 4.6
30.30.2
28.628.8
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.7